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Rainy season kicking off this weeknd

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18 minutes ago, Al Berca said:

The Weather Channel projects no rain for us until Wednesday the 13th...

I do not think so.

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Whole bunch of moisture up there this morning.  I haven't found the WC to be of much use in anticipating the weather here.  The satellite views show heavy moisture all over central Mexico.  I think we're looking good for a nice kick off this weekend.

 

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Hope you have a great season, up here in TX it's so dry the mosquitoes are having to buy bottled water to breed in - not to mention we've been at 100 or near for several weeks already.

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Raining in SE Ajijic right now.

Love the cool breezes!

Giltner, we can send you some mosquitos if you need more.  Just ask!  :D

 

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Heavy flooding in GDL, shut down Tren Ligero, flooded basement garages and streets.  Rainy season is going there not much here yet.

 

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Yikes! If it's a question of either/or, I'll just stay happy with the clouds. Hope everyone made it out safely.

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No rain so far in Chapala Haciendas or Ixtlahuacán. Clear blue sky, and nice breezes. I wish the summer would stay another month or so.

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No rain in San Juan Cosala so far.

 

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I hope so.

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I always say it starts around my mother's birthday, which is tomorrow. The forecast for tomorrow is rain in the afternoon and night. I always understood we need three gully washers for the rainy season to be officially started.

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4 hours ago, luvsdawgs said:

I always say it starts around my mother's birthday, which is tomorrow. The forecast for tomorrow is rain in the afternoon and night. I always understood we need three gully washers for the rainy season to be officially started.

Or is the rainy season due to a particular weather formation (El Nino?) that comes this time of year and that sticks with us until late September/early October?

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No but an El Niño can help it.  Right now the reports are we are in an ENSO neutral state since the La Niña of last winter wound down and the prediction is about 50-50 for an El Niño to form later this year.

The anomaly right now is the Pacific off of the Mexican coast is warmer than usual hence the formation of these tropical storms there so early.  They actually may be suppressing our normal rainy season start, the easterlies are pretty weak still.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

Status as of early June.

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Still waiting for the rainy season to start in San Juan Cosala.

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