sparks Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 ...PATRICIA......THE STRONGEST EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE ON RECORD......HEADING FOR POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERNMEXICO LATER TODAY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Al Berca Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 Ajijic just downgraded to 2-3 inches total rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shelley Ronnfeldt Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 Geez, I've had 1 1/2 inches at my house already since yesterday at 3pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CHILLIN Posted October 23, 2015 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 So who are we to believe - Sr. Berca wetting his finger, and sticking it out the window (at least I hope that's his finger, otherwise Mrs. Berca will be a very disappointed lady). Or the National Hurricane Center interpreting vast volumes of historic data and live updates from the Hurrican Hunter aircraft reporting from the actual event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sea Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 Hopefully this swift drop off from Cat 5 to TS is still the case. http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=12.9&lon=-96.8&zoom=6&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=0&hur=1&hur.wr=0&hur.cod=1&hur.fx=1&hur.obs=1&fire=0&ft=0&sl=0 Even with a Tropical Storm, you'd expect winds and heavy rain Lakeside. Hoping that all of our friends on the coast stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeanneboo Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 I don't know about you, but I have never been somewhere where the very center of the hurricane passed over, as it is predicted to do here. Usually, we just get the tail end of hurricanes that stay along the coast, but I think this will be different - with the center passing right over Guadalajara! Isn't the center of the hurricane where all the action is?? Even a "dissipated" hurricane is still quite a storm! Cuidado!!! As a native Floridian, I have been in the eye of a hurricane. It is a fascinating experience. The entire storm quiets in the eye. You can go outside and the sky is clear. Don't go far though as the storm will begin again but the winds go in the opposite direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lobos Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 We will not know until it gets here. But remember, 3 or 4 inches of rain plus the rain water that comes off the mountains and into the arroyos. If the arroyos have trash and are overgrown....then we have problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmh Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 Lobos you are totally wrong about CFE, . When we had a tornado destroying our neighborhood, they were working on the electricity as the tornado was leaving and they know about hurricane . They may totally swamped when it happen but I have found them very good in time of desastre. Now if you have a small problem forget it.. Electricity is not a huge deal here most people have gas, we do not need a/c just make sure you have water and stay away from trees. We can survive in Mexico a whole lot better than in the States when the electricity goes out and we are lucky we are not on the coast. The poor people on the coast are in for a bad ride, I hope they can stay away from danger, they were telling people that at the seed the wind will be cars will fly and people cannot walk so it could be really nasty. Hopefully people will stay safe. Yes the eye is the place to be, unfortunately hell starts again pretty fast..hurricanes are beautiful and exciting on the coast as long as they do not take your house out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happy jackson Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 Manzanillo, La Manzanilla Barra de Navidad, Lake Chaplala, some of our favorite places in Mexico and home to so many of our friends... My wife Ella and I left Mexico for health and Medicare Ins. otherwise we'd be with you today, instead of only praying for all in the hurricane's path here in Florida.. God Bless Mexico and God bless you all... Stay safe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phxfunguy Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 A concerned friend of mine in Norway sent me this link to an Earth view tool with real time (updated every 3 hours) wind direction, strength, and cloud cover. It's interesting to pan around the globe too and see that there are other areas where circular storms are forming or large ridges of colliding wind are occurring: http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=total_cloud_water/orthographic=-104.38,19.88,1550 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 The storm is coming from the south so the mountains on the south side of the lake are going to provide a lot of protection and will cut the rainfall significantly. Still, it is looking very wet and windy and the main problem will probably be power outages. Make sure all your drains are clear and you have plenty of Tequila on hand! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lobos Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 phxfunguy....thanks....great resource Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Al Berca Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 Ajijic. Thunderstorms turning in to rain and wind squalls towards evening until early morning with thunderstorms through early afternoon tomorrow. Wind velocity and rain estimate unchanged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ferret Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 A concerned friend of mine in Norway sent me this link to an Earth view tool with real time (updated every 3 hours) wind direction, strength, and cloud cover. It's interesting to pan around the globe too and see that there are other areas where circular storms are forming or large ridges of colliding wind are occurring: http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=total_cloud_water/orthographic=-104.38,19.88,1550 That is a seriously cool tool and I've added it to my weather links file. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CHILLIN Posted October 23, 2015 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 I wouldn't put too much faith in the mountains. This is like a big, bouncing bowling ball that no one can quite predict what will happen. It has the right velocity, with the right spin, and some bad luck on our part, it could be a strike. The "situation room" in Puerto Vallarta have told the Bomberos that this hurricane can, and probably will, jump the Sierra Tuito range on the south fringe of Banderas Bay. That is one formidable piece of rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmh Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 We have Canadian friends who just arrived at the beach in Sayulita, the road to PV is closed , anyone knows the site where the roads can be checked, Spanish is ok. I told them to go inland and stay put by 3pm but people never listen so anyone has a way to check the road closures? Has the Canadian consulate any number that can be called if they need to check the road conditions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmh Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 JUst heard thet the road going north from Sayulita is closed as well so people in Sayulita need to hunker down as they are trapped.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparks Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 I hear they are trying to evacuate Nuevo Vallarta ..... it's just flat beach They are evacuating Melaque with Proteccion Civil planning on up to 5 meter surf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cookie Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 They're saying that it's going to be the largest hurricane on record! Hang on to your hats guys. Anyone heard from Elke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cookie Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 I posted before I saw your post Scott. They must be headed out of harms way..I hope. That monster looks terrifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JRPJR Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015  They're saying that it's going to be the largest hurricane on record! Hang on to your hats guys. Anyone heard from Elke? Strongest, not lagrest, thank God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVGRINGO Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 In case of torrential rains, remember that large, loose boulders always roll downhill when the soil becomes saturated. A decade ago, a lady in Chapala died in her bed as a boulder crashed through her bedroom. And, more recently, remember the tromba that caused such devestation in San Juan Cosala. Hang in there, but keep an eye on the hills above you.....or get out of the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puro guero Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 Hurricane appears to be taking a more easterly path than the forecast. The eye of the hurricane is northeast of the 10:00 a.m. position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lobos Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 Anyone in touch with someone in the landfall area that can tell us what is happening at this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
camillenparadise Posted October 23, 2015 Report Share Posted October 23, 2015 So far nothing but drizzle between Punta Mita and Sayulita. Helluva homecoming! At least by yesterday evening I had gotten the bad water pressure pump repaired, the compressor on the big fridge replaced, gas delivered, water delivered, but of course, absolutely nothing unpacked.....SOOOO happy I brought back some beautiful veg from the lake or I would have a bare cupboard! And also glad this ain't my first rodeo after growing up on the Texas coast. Also my house is maybe 400' above sea level.....I'll keep you updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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